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News  >  News Details

Trump: The United States may reach a trade agreement with India, but Japan faces the threat of higher tariffs!

2025-07-02 09:29:09

According to Refinitiv, US President Trump revealed in an interview on Tuesday (July 1) that the United States is expected to reach an important trade agreement with India, paving the way for US companies to compete in the South Asian market while significantly reducing tariff barriers. However, at the same time, his attitude towards Japan is completely different. He publicly expressed doubts about reaching a US-Japan trade agreement and threatened to impose higher tariffs on Japanese goods. This news has not only attracted widespread attention from the international community, but also added new uncertainties to the global trade situation.

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US and India: A trade deal in sight


India lowers barriers to welcome US companies <br/>Trump told reporters on Air Force One that he is confident about the prospects of a trade deal with India. He pointed out that the Indian government has shown a willingness to lower trade barriers for US companies, which has laid the foundation for negotiations between the two sides. Previously, Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose tariffs of up to 26% on Indian goods, but this policy was temporarily shelved and the deadline was set for July 9. If the two sides can reach an agreement before the deadline, US companies will be able to enter the Indian market with lower tariffs, which is of great significance for expanding the US economic influence in South Asia.

Trump stressed: "India currently has set up many barriers to market access for foreign companies, but I believe they are ready to change. If they really do this, we will reach an agreement with significantly reduced tariffs." His optimism not only reflects the positive progress in the recent negotiations between the United States and India, but also demonstrates the United States' strategic intention to seek greater benefits in global trade.

Treasury Secretary supports, negotiations enter critical stage <br/>U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent further confirmed the progress in an interview with Fox News. He said that the relationship between the United States and India is "very close" and the two sides are about to reach an agreement to reduce India's import tariffs on U.S. goods. This will not only help American companies enter the Indian market, but also avoid the risk of a sharp increase in tariffs on Indian exports to the United States after July 9. Bessent's words have injected a shot in the arm for the U.S.-India trade negotiations and made the outside world full of expectations for the conclusion of the agreement.

At the same time, Indian government sources revealed that Indian officials recently extended their visit to Washington in an attempt to finalize the details of the agreement with the Trump administration at the last minute. This high-intensity diplomatic effort shows that India also attaches great importance to trade cooperation with the United States and hopes to resolve the potential tariff crisis through negotiations.

Countdown to July 9, priorities highlighted <br/>It is worth noting that White House insiders revealed that the Trump administration will give priority to reaching trade agreements with several countries, including India, in the last few days before the tariff suspension deadline on July 9. This strategy shows the flexibility and targeting of the United States in global trade negotiations. As one of the fastest growing economies in the world, India's market potential is of great attraction to American companies. Therefore, the Trump administration obviously hopes to consolidate the US-India economic relationship by reducing tariffs and trade barriers, while gaining more market share for American companies.

Japan's "special treatment": Trump's tariff stick


Japan rejects US demands, negotiations deadlocked

In sharp contrast to his optimistic attitude towards India, Trump's stance towards Japan is tough and cold. On Air Force One, he bluntly expressed his doubts about whether a trade agreement could be reached with Japan, and even said that it was "unlikely" to achieve a breakthrough before July 9. Trump's dissatisfaction mainly stems from Japan's attitude in trade negotiations, especially Japan's refusal to accept the "simple request" put forward by the United States - allowing American-grown rice to enter the Japanese market.

Trump complained: "Japan sells millions of cars in the United States, but is unwilling to accept our rice. This is a very simple request, but they just won't agree." He further stated that if Japan continues to insist on its current position, the United States will impose higher tariffs on Japanese goods, which may be as high as 30% or even 35%, far exceeding the previously announced 24%. This threat undoubtedly casts a shadow on US-Japan trade relations.

Trump is determined not to extend the deadline

Trump made it clear that he would not consider extending the tariff suspension period on July 9, but planned to send a formal notice to the relevant countries to clarify the tariff rates they will face. He revealed that he would send a letter to Japan to inform it that it would face higher tariff penalties for failing to meet basic US requirements. This tough stance shows Trump's uncompromising trade policy and reflects his "America First" governing philosophy.

Japan's woes and the ripple effects on global trade

Trump's statement puts Japan in a dilemma. As the world's third largest economy, Japan is highly dependent on the US market, especially automobile exports, which account for a large share of its trade with the US. If the US really imposes tariffs of 30% or higher on Japanese goods, the Japanese economy may face a significant impact. At the same time, this decision may also trigger a chain reaction in the global trade pattern and affect the progress of trade negotiations between other countries and the US.

The deeper meaning of the triangular game between the United States, India and Japan


Trump's trade strategy: Divide and conquer

Trump's latest statement shows that he has adopted a "divide and rule" strategy in trade policy. He has shown a cooperative attitude towards India, trying to win over this emerging market by lowering tariffs and reducing barriers; while he has wielded the tariff stick towards Japan, trying to force Japan to make concessions by exerting pressure. This differentiated strategy not only reflects Trump's flexibility in trade negotiations, but also reflects the United States' dominant position in the global economy.

Uncertainty about global trade

Trump's statement has undoubtedly added new variables to the global trade situation. The potential conclusion of the US-India trade agreement may set an example for other countries, prompting more countries to negotiate with the United States to avoid tariff shocks. However, the threat of high tariffs on Japan may cause concerns in other countries, leading to further tensions in the global trade environment. As the July 9 deadline approaches, the results of negotiations between various countries and the United States will have a profound impact on the future global economic landscape.

July 9: A critical date

As July 9 approaches, the world's attention is focused on the trade negotiations between the United States and various countries. Can India reach an agreement with the United States at the last minute? How will Japan respond to Trump's tariff threats? The answers to these questions not only concern the economic interests of the United States, India and Japan, but will also have a profound impact on the global trade system. Trump's tough attitude and flexible strategy will play a key role in this process.

Summary: Trade war or win-win cooperation?


Trump's latest statement shows his dual strategy on trade policy: opening the door to cooperation with India and wielding the tariff stick against Japan. This differentiated approach not only reflects the United States' dominant position in global trade, but also adds more uncertainty to future negotiations. As the July 9 deadline approaches, the progress of the US-India trade agreement and the direction of US-Japan relations will become the focus of global attention.

In the short term, the optimistic outlook for the US-India trade agreement may put some pressure on gold prices, but the potential escalation of US-Japan trade frictions may push up safe-haven demand and support gold prices. The actual trend of gold prices will depend on the specific progress of the negotiations before July 9 and the market's reaction to the global economic outlook. Investors need to pay close attention to relevant news developments to determine the short-term fluctuation direction of gold prices.

At 09:27 Beijing time, spot gold was trading at $3,334.32 per ounce.
Risk Warning and Disclaimer
The market involves risk, and trading may not be suitable for all investors. This article is for reference only and does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account certain users’ specific investment objectives, financial situation, or other needs. Any investment decisions made based on this information are at your own risk.

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