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Economic Calendar  >  Calendar Details

The United StatesJuneCore PCE Price Index Year-on-Year Rate

Latest Release Actual Value Forecast Value Previous Value Next Release Time Release Frequency Importance
2025-07-31 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2025-08-29 20:30 Monthly

Historical Data

Actual Value

Forecast Value

1 Year

2 Years

5 Years

 Start Date to   End Date

Definition

PCE corresponds to the Chinese term "Personal Consumption Expenditure"; the core PCE price index is a key indicator for measuring inflation in private consumption in the United States. It was first introduced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Department of Commerce and was adopted as a major indicator for measuring inflation by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the decision - making body of the Federal Reserve, in 2002.

Impact on Market

Announced value > Forecast value = Bullish for the US dollar

Why It Matters

In January 2012, the Federal Reserve set the annual increase rate of core PCE at 2% as its long - term inflation target, thereby announcing that the Fed also had a clear inflation target. If the annual increase rate of core PCE exceeds 2%, the Federal Reserve will tighten its monetary policy, which is beneficial to the US dollar, and has positive or negative impacts on gold, silver, oil, and copper; conversely, it is negative for gold, silver, oil, and copper.

Released By

US Department of Commerce

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