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2025-09-17 19:41:39
[Rabobank: European natural gas prices may stabilize in the high €20 range from the second quarter of next year] Florence Schmit, an analyst at Rabobank, said that thanks to the commissioning of new liquefied natural gas (LNG) production capacity, European natural gas prices are expected to stabilize in the high €20 per megawatt-hour range from the second quarter of next year. The energy strategist pointed out: "Europe's natural gas supply is undergoing a structural transformation - the core feature is the decline in dependence on pipeline natural gas and the increase in dependence on liquefied natural gas. This transformation has brought new vulnerabilities. The energy security of the European continent will increasingly depend on the dynamics of the global LNG market, weather changes, and infrastructure bottlenecks, making the stability of natural gas prices more sensitive to external shocks than in the pre-war period." Rabobank said that the scale of new LNG production capacity that is about to be put into production is considerable. The production capacity of the United States alone will increase by 8%, pushing the global annual LNG production capacity to increase by approximately 34 million tons. Currently, the price of the European natural gas benchmark - the Dutch TTF natural gas futures contract is hovering above €32 per megawatt-hour.
