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2026-07-14 18:56:11

[Major Tax Incentives for African Deepwater Oil Fields Could Shift Global Oil Supply Landscape] ⑴ Nigeria has approved a production-linked tax credit for Shell's deepwater oil field projects, offering a $11.50 tax rebate for every barrel of crude oil produced, more than double the standard amount. ⑵ Sources familiar with the matter revealed that this incentive was directly driven by the president to facilitate the final investment decision for the Southwest Banga Aparo project, with Shell and its partners being among the first beneficiaries. ⑶ More importantly, this preferential policy will be opened to other oil giants in the future, applicable to all new deepwater projects, and valid until at least 2029, laying the institutional foundation for medium- to long-term capacity expansion. ⑷ From a market impact perspective, the development costs of Nigerian deepwater blocks have consistently been high. The tax rebate mechanism directly lowers the marginal cost line, potentially accelerating the release of idle capacity and increasing global medium- to long-term crude oil supply expectations. (5) From a transaction logic perspective, this move reflects that major African oil-producing countries are sacrificing short-term gains in exchange for production growth and foreign investment retention due to limited fiscal space. It is worth noting whether other OPEC member countries will follow suit with similar arrangements.

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