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2026-10-21 06:14:20
The probability of a Fed rate hike in October is 16.1%, and the probability of at least one more rate hike this year is 90.2%. According to CME's FedWatch Tool: the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 9.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 76.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.2%.
