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2025-07-28 18:50:48
[The 150 mark is in danger, short bets on USD/JPY are approaching 10 billion US dollars, and the long-short decisive battle is about to start? ] ⑴ Market data shows that traders' short positions betting on the decline of USD/JPY have reached nearly 10 billion US dollars. ⑵ Large-scale short selling began in February this year, when the USD/JPY exchange rate hovered around 152. ⑶ Technically, the midpoint of the decline in 2025 is 149.38, while the 200-day moving average is 149.63. ⑷ The peak of the upper track of the 20-day Bollinger Band is 149.84, which provides room for further rise in the exchange rate. ⑸ The focus of the market is on the 150 mark, which may trigger short covering once it is broken. ⑹ If the USD/JPY rises above 152, it may trigger a larger-scale short squeeze, pushing the exchange rate sharply higher. ⑺ This data shows that the market bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce game at key points, and the future trend is full of uncertainty.
