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2025-07-31 06:05:19
The probability of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve has dropped to 45.7%, compared to about 65% the day before; the probability of an October rate cut is 65.4%. According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 54.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 34.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 16.6%.
