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2025-08-01 17:34:27
[Alert! Inflation Surpasses Expectations, Has ECB Rate Cut Expectations Failed?] ⑴ The latest data shows that the Eurozone's preliminary CPI for July reached 2.0% year-on-year, exceeding expectations of 1.9%. The core CPI was in line with expectations at 2.3%. ⑵ European government bond yields remained high following the data release. Specifically, the German 10-year bond yield rose 2 basis points to 2.711%. ⑶ Analysts indicate that inflation is likely to remain above the ECB's expectations in the coming quarters. This suggests that further ECB rate cuts are unlikely, and the market should be wary of any repricing of rate cut expectations. ⑷ This change reflects market concerns about the ECB's future policy path. Traders should closely monitor subsequent data releases and the latest statements from central bank officials, cautiously preparing for potential market volatility. ⑸ Volatility in risky assets may increase amidst continued inflationary pressures. ⑹ Investors should comprehensively consider macroeconomic data and technical indicators to develop flexible trading strategies.
