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2025-08-01 20:18:25
[Before the release of the non-farm payrolls, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is 41%] According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 59.0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 41.0%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 36.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 47.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 15.8%.
