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2025-09-17 17:15:34
[The Canadian Dollar's Fate Hangs on Policy Signals: Markets Hold Their Breath] ⑴ Commerzbank analyst Michael Pfister stated that the Bank of Canada may cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. ⑵ The continued weakness of the real economy has prompted the Bank of Canada to adopt an easing policy to stimulate growth. ⑶ The market has already priced in the rate cut, and the decision itself has limited impact on the Canadian dollar, with the focus shifting to future policy signals. ⑷ If the Bank of Canada hints at further rate cuts in the coming months, the Canadian dollar could face significant depreciation pressure. ⑸ Technical analysis shows that USD/CAD has recently fluctuated around 1.36, and a break above 1.3650 could trigger an upward trend. ⑹ From a trading perspective, investors should monitor the Bank of Canada's wording after the decision and be cautious about short-term volatility risks. ⑺ Trump's tariff remarks have exacerbated global market uncertainty, potentially indirectly reducing the Canadian dollar's appeal. ⑻ Traders are advised to closely monitor the 1.35 support level and implement risk management to mitigate volatility caused by policy signals.
