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2025-09-17 20:01:24
[BNP Paribas: The US dollar may deviate from historical trends] BNP Paribas strategists said in a report that if the US Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut on Wednesday, the US dollar may deviate from historical trends. Based on historical patterns, if a recession does not occur after the first rate cut, the US dollar tends to rise in the following months, supported by capital inflows into the US stock market; and if a recession occurs, the US dollar usually benefits from the inflow of safe-haven funds. However, the situation may be different this time: if the possibility of a recession increases, the US dollar may fall instead - because the current trading logic of the US dollar is more in line with the fluctuation pattern of risky assets.
