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2025-09-17 21:33:21
[Gold Dip-Buying Surge: Market Betting on an Eventually Dovish Fed Shift] ⑴ The gold market has recently demonstrated strong dip-buying momentum, with active positioning even before the Fed's interest rate decision. Data shows that in the hours leading up to the Fed's decision, gold prices quickly pared a $38 decline, ultimately falling by only $12, demonstrating strong market buying interest, regardless of Fed Chairman Powell's comments. ⑵ Market participants generally expect that, even if the Fed's current stance is not explicitly dovish, its monetary policy may shift to a more accommodative, or even significantly more dovish, approach. This expectation stems in part from expectations that US President Trump will lower interest rates and his willingness to employ unconventional measures to achieve this goal. ⑶ Meanwhile, continued global geopolitical volatility and intensified trade frictions have also provided support for gold. The fragmentation of the global order caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the impact of the US-initiated trade war on globalization have exposed new risks. In the current complex international environment, these factors are favorable for gold assets, prompting investors to allocate to it as a safe-haven asset.
