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2025-09-18 08:03:35
[Soochow Securities: The market has fully priced in three rate cuts; rate cuts do not necessarily lead to a significant weakening of the US dollar] A Soochow Securities research report states that the market has fully priced in three rate cuts, leaving no room for further rate cuts throughout the year. Weak employment has fueled market pessimism about the US economy, but leading indicators show signs of recovery. If the economy outperforms expectations, expectations for rate cuts will further subside. Rate cuts do not necessarily lead to a significant weakening of the US dollar. Historically, precautionary rate cuts have led to an average decline in the US dollar after one week, with a relatively large drop (-0.91%). However, these declines narrow within a month and turn positive, with average gains of 0.84% and 2.02% over the following three and six months.
