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2025-09-18 13:38:17
[Barclays economists: Risks to the Fed's interest rate path favor delaying rate cuts] Barclays economists believe that risks to the Fed's interest rate path favor delaying rate cuts. They said in the report that this could happen if inflation in early 2026 continues to indicate strong price increases, or if tariffs push prices beyond commodity categories amid a moderate rise in unemployment. They added that, conversely, if the unemployment rate suddenly rises sharply, the Federal Open Market Committee may cut interest rates more significantly. Barclays expects the Federal Open Market Committee to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 until the committee sees signs of slowing in month-on-month inflation data and is confident that inflation is returning to the target of 2%.
