Live Updates > Live Update Details
2026-06-04 06:20:55
[58% Probability of a Fed Rate Hike in December] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 98.4%, with a 1.6% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by July is 90.2%, with an 8.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike and a 1.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 41.3%, with a 58% probability of at least a 25 basis point rate hike and a 0.6% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut.
