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The 250th anniversary of the United States exposed political divisions and social dilemmas.

2026-06-26 21:51:55

At this important juncture of the 250th anniversary of the founding of the United States, multiple authoritative polls have outlined an unprecedented collective pessimism among the American people, and also revealed the deep-seated reality of the current political collapse, social division, and disordered development in the United States.

A recent Gallup poll shows that over 75% of Americans say that if the Founding Fathers could see the state of the country today, they would be deeply disappointed. This data directly reflects a rare crisis of institutional identity and a collapse of public faith in the United States over its more than two centuries of development.

Today, the United States has undergone a profound reshaping under the ten-year Trump administration, with the original political landscape completely broken down and the structural collapse of the political arena fully manifested. Partisan opposition, ideological shifts, and public opinion divisions are intertwined and superimposed, plunging the country's development prospects into a highly uncertain and chaotic state.

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The Republican Party is in complete disarray: the MAGA camp is splitting, and populist public opinion has completely shifted.


The internal divisions within American politics have long permeated the core circles of the two major political parties, and the traditional party structure has become severely weakened.

Within the Republican camp, the once-powerful "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) faction has completely split, with the camp divided into two major groups: loyal supporters and those who adhere to the original "America First" platform. This historic divergence in policy has directly dismantled the broad-based voter alliance that Trump had built for the 2024 election.

Tucker Carlson and former Congresswoman Marjory Taylor Green, who were once key figures in the MAGA movement's public opinion, recently announced their departure from the Republican Party and publicly criticized Trump's actions toward Iran, completely betraying the original intentions and promises of the populist movement.

The political divide has further spread to niche social media spheres, with leading populist creators such as Theo von, Tim Dillon, and Candace Owens turning to criticize the current administration's policies, completely shattering the unified public opinion consensus within the Republican Party.

A dramatic shift in the Democratic Party's ideology: the rise of left-wing socialism and the complete loss of power for the establishment.


The Democratic Party camp is also deeply mired in a governance and ideological crisis, and its internal structure is undergoing a disruptive transformation.

Establishment Democrats are facing unprecedented panic as a left-wing socialist movement, modeled after the right-wing Tea Party, rises strongly, constantly upsetting incumbent politicians in party primaries, severely damaging the credibility of party leaders, and completely rewriting the traditional political landscape of the Democratic Party.

What was once a stable blue stronghold has become a testing ground for radical and confrontational political ideologies.

New York City Mayor Zoran Mandani has become a core leader of the left-wing progressive wing. The three democratic socialists he endorsed are likely to be elected to Congress after causing political turmoil in the party primaries, further strengthening the radical left-wing forces.

Poll data better reflects the dramatic shift in ideology: a Gallup survey last year showed that 66% of Democratic voters favored socialist ideas, while only 42% approved of capitalism, a record high in the gap between the two. Among them, the ideological differences among voters under the age of 30 were the most extreme, becoming the core supporting force of left-wing reformist forces.

As left-wing ideology continues to rise, the core leadership of the Democratic Party has been unable to cope effectively and its policies have become inconsistent, completely losing its ability to lead the party's development.

Generational Divide in Diplomatic Stances: Reversal in Attitudes Towards Israel Exacerbates Partisan Rivalry


The generational shift in foreign policy stances has become a key variable in reshaping the base of the two major parties in the United States and exacerbating social divisions, with the change in public attitudes toward Israel being the most typical example.

Currently, American public opinion toward Israel continues to decline, with both parties experiencing a significant loss of support, and pro-Palestinian politicians continuing to gain an advantage in elections at all levels.

Pew Research Center data highlights the extreme polarization of public opinion, with 60% of Americans holding a negative view of Israel. Among them, 80% of Democratic youth under the age of 50 hold a negative view, while 57% of Republican youth in the same age group also hold a negative view.

Behind the differences in stances lies a divergence in the perceptions of the US foreign policy among two generations of voters: young left-wing voters see Israel's military action in Gaza as a concentrated manifestation of the ills of the old-guard US political parties. Issues such as militarism, capital manipulation of politics, aging politicians holding power, and the lack of morality in foreign policy have all become the core basis for the younger generation's criticism of the old system.

Within the Republican Party, the aging establishment adheres to its traditional pro-Israel stance, while younger, grassroots voters firmly oppose overseas geopolitical interference, believing that unrestrained foreign intervention is precisely the development problem that the "America First" ideology aims to eradicate. Meanwhile, escalating anti-Semitism further exacerbates the already deeply divided social and public opinion environment.

AI Sparks Nationwide Employment Anxiety: Bipartisan Populist Sentiment Continues to Rise


The rapid development of the artificial intelligence industry has become a new core variable that has stirred up populist sentiment in the United States and exacerbated partisan divisions, while also reflecting deep-seated contradictions in the areas of people's livelihood and employment in the United States.

The three major problems of job displacement risk, rising energy costs for residents, and disorderly expansion of technology oligarchs continue to resonate, triggering widespread anxiety among the American people and completely breaking down the traditional partisan framework.

Left-wing labor rights groups, MAGA faction anti-monopoly hawks, and a broad range of young voters have reached a consensus that the benefits of artificial intelligence development are highly concentrated in leading technology giants, while continuously squeezing employment opportunities for ordinary workers and reducing bargaining power for entry-level positions.

Data from a Harvard University youth employment survey confirms public concerns: among American youth aged 18 to 29, 59% believe that artificial intelligence will severely impact their employment prospects. Among young Democratic respondents, the pessimistic rate is as high as 66%, while among young Republican respondents it is 59%. This bipartisan employment anxiety makes artificial intelligence a new point of division in American society and a catalyst for populist sentiment.

The midterm election landscape is chaotic: the power struggle for control of the House and Senate is deadlocked.


The comprehensive division in politics and society has directly led to a complete loss of control over the US election landscape, making it impossible to quantify and predict the country's political trajectory in the coming years.

The 2026 midterm elections and the 2028 presidential election are both in a state of high uncertainty, and the power struggle between the House and Senate is becoming increasingly intense.

At the House level, Republicans have built a weak safety barrier for seats by redrawing district boundaries, but Democrats hold a 6-percentage-point advantage in national popular vote polls, putting the House control in a balanced game with an unpredictable outcome.

The Senate originally had a Republican fundamental advantage, but top election analyst Larry Sabato recently lowered his forecasts for the three Senate races, shifting the situation to a Democratic advantage, with a 50-50 tie in the Senate now a high-probability event.

No clear frontrunner in the 2028 election: The two-party competition landscape will be completely flattened.


The race for the 2028 US presidential election is now fully open, with no clear frontrunner among the core candidates, resulting in a completely flattened partisan competitive landscape.

Within the Democratic Party, the four potential candidates—Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez—are separated by less than 8 percentage points, making the competition extremely close.

Within the Republican camp, Vice President Vance holds a slight lead over Secretary of State Marco Rubio, but Vance's political development is entirely dependent on Trump, whose continued uncertainty regarding personnel and policies makes the Republican election prospects highly unpredictable.

Looking at the overall election situation, both of the major American political parties have completely lost the support of the people and have been collectively criticized by voters, becoming a direct microcosm of the decline of American politics.

Overall Review: The United States Faces its First Systemic Development Crisis in 250 Years of History


Looking back at the 250-year history of the United States, the country is currently facing a systemic development crisis unseen in decades.

The populist forces awakened by Trump's decade-long political ups and downs continue to erode the traditional political system. Endless overseas geopolitical conflicts, persistently high domestic inflation, an imbalance of power and responsibility among top elites, and escalating social class antagonism are among the multiple negative factors that are constantly eroding America's institutional advantages and social cohesion.

From political party splits and dramatic changes in social thought to widespread public anxiety and declining national identity, multiple crises have combined and resonated, leading the United States, on its 250th anniversary, to not only experience a full-blown political implosion but also to fall into a deep predicament of uncertainty about its future development, fading institutional advantages, and the disintegration of social consensus.
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