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2026-07-22 06:08:14
[The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is 25.1%, and the probability of a rate hike this year rises to 87.4%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 74.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 25.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 28.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 55.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 15.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 12.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 37.4%, and the probability of at least a 50 basis point rate hike is 50%.
