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2026-07-23 06:22:14
[The probability of a Fed rate hike in July rises to 34.7%, and the probability of at least a 50 basis point rate hike this year rises to 56.8%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 34.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 22%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 23%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 9.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.7%, and the probability of at least a 50 basis point rate hike is 56.8%.
