Live Updates > Live Update Details
2025-07-30 17:06:58
GBP/USD Alert: How Could the Fed's Hawkish Voices Trigger a Forex Market Abyss? ⑴ Although GBP/USD managed to close above its 100-day moving average (1.3371), its rebound was weak, failing to provide substantial encouragement to market bulls. ⑵ This weak performance further reinforces the view that bears are dominant, suggesting continued downward pressure on the pound. ⑶ Looking ahead to the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision, the risk bias is clearly asymmetric, favoring a hawkish outcome, which undoubtedly poses a significant threat to GBP/USD. ⑷ Market focus will be on the disagreement among voting members. A single dissenter could immediately trigger a hawkish repricing in the market, further pressuring the exchange rate. ⑸ If two dissenters emerge, the probability of a September rate cut is likely to remain around 60-65%. ⑹ However, in either scenario, GBP/USD faces greater downside risk. A break below and sustained consolidation below the 100-day moving average would pave the way for a move towards the 1.3200 level.
