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2025-07-30 19:14:43
Interest Rate Cut Concern: How Will the Fed's "Softer Talk" Trigger the Market? ⑴ The market is holding its breath, focused on the Fed's interest rate decision early Thursday morning Beijing time. ⑵ DHF Capital's Boker notes that if the Fed's tone turns dovish, US Treasury yields may fall in response. ⑶ The bond market's sensitivity makes it highly susceptible to sudden shifts in interest rate expectations. ⑷ Although the market generally expects a standstill this time, speculation about a September rate cut is already rampant. ⑸ The key lies in how "soften" the Fed's official statement will be, and whether any policymakers signal an easing bias. ⑹ Traders should closely monitor the statements of Fed Governors Waller and Bowman. Their previous stances may indicate a slight shift in policy, and each statement could tug at market nerves and trigger a chain reaction.
