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2025-09-15 18:05:03
[AUD/USD Bull-Bear Tug-of-War: A "Black Swan" Potential in the Options Market] ⑴ The AUD/USD pair has recently performed strongly, reaching a new 2025 high and poised to challenge the 0.6700 level, with market sentiment seemingly tilted towards the bullish side. However, implied volatility in exchange rate options has reached a long-term low, indicating that the power struggle between bulls and bears has not subsided, and potential volatility risks remain. ⑵ The call options trade recommended last week on the AUD/USD pair appears to have made a good start. If the Australian dollar's rise accelerates and implied volatility rebounds, the value of these options contracts could increase further. However, caution should be exercised regarding the hurdle near 0.6700 and the potential "gamma" effect that could limit upside potential. ⑶ Notably, market analysis suggests that the AUD/USD pair could potentially surge to 0.7124 after issuing a bullish signal. This suggests that despite short-term volatility, the longer-term upside potential cannot be ignored. Investors should closely monitor key technical levels and market sentiment to prepare for potential market surprises.
