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2025-09-15 18:45:46
[Waiting for the interest rate cut to happen, yield curve fluctuations are quietly brewing] ⑴ Market sentiment has become cautious. On the eve of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, investors generally chose to remain on hold and wait for policy trends to become clear. U.S. Treasury yields remained stable or fell slightly in European midday trading, indicating a temporary retreat of bullish forces. ⑵ LSEG data showed that the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. However, investors are paying close attention to inflation dynamics and further guidance from the Federal Reserve. Any surprises about the pace or magnitude of interest rate cuts could trigger a sharp reaction in the yield curve. ⑶ Data showed that as of midday in Europe, the two-year Treasury yield fell less than 1 basis point to 3.551%; the ten-year Treasury yield fell 1 basis point to 4.059%; and the thirty-year Treasury yield remained at 4.679%. Behind these tiny changes, there is actually a deep consideration of the market on the future direction of monetary policy.
