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2025-09-15 20:18:35
[Market Awaits FOMC, Short-Term Futures Trading Strategies Emerge] ⑴ The overnight market stabilized after a 1-2 basis point drop, indicating a wait-and-see approach in the short-term interest rate futures market. Market participants are generally awaiting Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision, particularly whether the language will shift from its current restrictive stance to a dovish one or maintain the status quo. ⑵ From a technical analysis perspective, the moving average model suggests a light position strategy in SOFR futures. Specifically, the model indicates a "buy" signal from the 13-day and 38-day moving average crossover, but recommends reducing long positions in contracts such as SRAZ25, SRAZ26, SRAZ27, and SRAZ28. ⑶ Based on current data, December SOFR futures opened mixed, with SRAZ25 down 1 basis point, while SRAZ26 and SRAZ27 rose 1 basis point, and SRAZ28 remained flat. The trading range remained narrow, indicating market caution ahead of key events.
