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2025-09-15 20:20:57

[Technical Analysis of the US Dollar Index] Based on the daily chart, the current price is below the middle Bollinger Band at 97.9808 and above the lower Bollinger Band at 97.3066, showing a weak consolidation structure of "above the lower band - below the middle band". The upper band at 98.6549 continues to move downward from its high, and the convergence of bandwidth indicates that volatility has fallen, approaching the early stage of "Bollinger Band Squeeze". The momentum of subsequent direction selection will rely more on fundamental catalysts. In terms of MACD, DIFF is -0.1774, DEA is -0.1247, and the histogram is -0.1055. The short-term momentum is still below the zero axis but narrowing, indicating that the downward momentum is decreasing and the short-term "weakness is blunting". RSI (14) is at 42.9043, which is in a neutral to weak range, neither oversold nor recovered to the strong zone (>50). The candlestick chart shows small real bodies and fluctuating upper shadows over the past two weeks, indicating persistent selling pressure from above. However, support has been found repeatedly between 97.30 and 97.24, forming a horizontal-dynamic resonant support pattern along the lower edge. Regarding resistance and support, initial resistance lies around 98.00 (the middle Bollinger band and a previously high-volume trading area), followed by 98.25 (the upper limit of the September 5th range) and 98.65 (the upper Bollinger band). Initial support lies between 97.30 and 97.24. If this fails, watch for a retest of the previous low at 96.86. Conversely, a daily close above 98.00, accompanied by a continued decline in the MACD-histogram and a crossover above 50 by the RSI, could trigger a test of the 98.25-98.65 range. The overall pattern remains a low-volatility consolidation within a descending channel, with the short-term outlook more likely to see a tug-of-war between technical rebounds and weak fluctuations.

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3652.57

8.30

(0.23%)

XAG

42.173

0.380

(0.91%)

CONC

62.99

-0.27

(-0.43%)

OILC

67.30

-0.17

(-0.25%)

USD

97.606

0.250

(0.26%)

EURUSD

1.1754

-0.0031

(-0.26%)

GBPUSD

1.3490

-0.0064

(-0.47%)

USDCNH

7.1156

0.0090

(0.13%)

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