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2025-09-15 20:24:17
Are Russian grain exports facing obstacles? Data reveals three major shifts. (1) Institutional estimates indicate that Russia's exports of wheat, barley, and corn in September will reach 4.8 million tons, down from 5.1 million tons in August, but higher than last week's estimate of 4.7 million tons. This data suggests that while exports may fluctuate slightly in the short term, they remain resilient compared to the same period last year. (2) Data shows that from September 2024 to August 2025, Russian wheat exports will gradually decline from an estimated 5.1 million tons to 2 million tons, then rebound to 4.4 million tons in August 2025, with a September forecast of 4.2 million tons. Corn exports, after reaching 5 million tons in July 2025, are now projected at 2 million tons in September, indicating significant uncertainty. (3) Overall, Russia's total grain exports will be 5.8 million tons in September 2024, projected to rise to 5.1 million tons by August 2025, but then fall back to 4.8 million tons in September. This volatility may be affected by a variety of factors, including seasonal changes, global demand and geopolitical factors, and traders need to pay close attention to relevant developments.
