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2025-09-15 21:21:19
[US Treasury Yields Approach 4.05% as Markets Await FOMC Decision] ⑴ The 10-year US Treasury yield fell below 4.05% at the start of the week, hovering near its lowest point since April, as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision. ⑵ The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday, with a slight probability of a 50 basis point cut. Recent data suggests a significant cooling in the labor market. ⑶ Investors will focus on the Fed's updated macroeconomic forecasts (particularly the interest rate outlook), with widespread expectations that the rate-cutting cycle will continue until the end of the year. ⑷ The FOMC vote split will be closely monitored; a three-way split would be the first since 2011. ⑸ Traders are also focused on whether Stephen Milan will be confirmed as a Fed governor in time for the meeting.
