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2025-12-15 14:33:27
[Société Générale Adjusts ECB Interest Rate Forecast] 1. Société Générale has recently adjusted its interest rate forecast for the European Central Bank (ECB). Analyst Anatoli Annenkov stated in a report that, given the recent resilient economic data and reduced downside risks to inflation, the bank has withdrawn its previous expectation of a March 2026 rate cut by the ECB. 2. The report points out that although inflation still faces downward pressure in the short term—particularly due to factors such as potential compression of corporate profit margins by US tariffs, a cooling labor market, and falling energy prices that could lower wage growth and inflation expectations, potentially prompting the ECB to adopt easing policies in the future—the current data environment no longer supports the original forecast of a March 2026 rate cut. The bank aligns with market expectations that the ECB will maintain its current interest rate at this week's meeting.
