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Live Updates  >  Live Update Details

2025-12-15 18:21:01

[Interest Rate Spread Alert: West German 30-Year Bond Premium Deviations from Mean by 2.1 Standard Deviations] ⑴ After adjusting for the directional nature of the interest rate spread between the two countries, 30-year Spanish bonds appear "expensive" relative to 30-year German bonds. ⑵ Based on a two-month constant yield to maturity regression model, the yield on 30-year Spanish bonds is 2.8 basis points higher than the beta-adjusted yield on 30-year German bonds. ⑶ This premium of 2.1 standard deviations indicates that the current interest rate spread has significantly deviated from its recent historical average, potentially suggesting a short-term imbalance in market pricing of long-term credit risk or liquidity between the two countries.

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