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2025-12-16 18:17:56
[Swedish Outlook: The "German Dependence" Behind the Initial Economic Dawn] ⑴ The Swedish Finance Minister stated that the country's economy is finally showing signs of recovery, but the outlook remains highly uncertain. ⑵ The government's latest forecast raises the 2025 GDP growth rate to 1.6% from the September estimate of 0.9%, indicating greater optimism about recent growth momentum. ⑶ For 2026, the government forecasts GDP growth at 3.0%, slightly lower than the September estimate of 3.1%, but still pointing to a strong expansion outlook. ⑷ Regarding inflation, the government forecasts a CPIF inflation rate of 1.1% in 2026, lower than the September estimate of 1.3%, reflecting easing price pressures. ⑸ However, the Swedish Finance Minister clearly pointed out that weak German economic growth is the biggest problem facing the Swedish economy. ⑹ He emphasized that the Swedish economy is very closely linked to the German economy and German companies, highlighting its heavy reliance on the health of its major trading partners for external growth drivers.
