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2025-12-16 18:22:59
[The Delayed "Judgment": How Will the Shrinking Employment Data Impact the Market?] ⑴ The November US non-farm payroll report, delayed due to the government shutdown, will be released at 21:30 Beijing time on Tuesday evening, along with incomplete October labor market data. ⑵ Economists expect the US to add 45,000 jobs in November, with the unemployment rate potentially rising slightly to 4.5%. ⑶ Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the data release, with major stock index futures declining slightly, suggesting a possible continuation of the recent market correction. ⑷ The Nasdaq Composite Index has fallen for three consecutive trading days as concerns about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence boom have resurfaced. ⑸ Investors are also awaiting the October retail sales data to be released on the same day, as well as the preliminary November manufacturing and services PMI figures from S&P Global. ⑹ This delayed and expected significantly slower employment report will provide key new clues for assessing the momentum of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's policy path.
