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2025-12-16 18:37:06
[The Calm Before the Data Storm: Markets Hold Their Breath Awaiting the Delayed Non-Farm Payrolls "Judgment"] ⑴ The US November non-farm payrolls report, delayed due to the previous government shutdown, will be released Tuesday evening (Beijing time), along with some October labor market data. ⑵ Economists surveyed generally expect the US to add only 45,000 jobs in November, with the unemployment rate potentially rising slightly to 4.5%. ⑶ Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the data release, with major US stock index futures falling slightly, indicating that the recent market correction may continue. ⑷ The Nasdaq Composite Index has fallen for three consecutive trading days, reflecting renewed concerns about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence boom. ⑸ In addition to the jobs report, investors are also awaiting the October retail sales data to be released later today, as well as the preliminary November manufacturing and services PMI figures released by S&P Global. ⑹ This long-awaited jobs report, which is expected to show a significant slowdown, will be a key indicator for assessing the health of the US economy and influencing the pace of future Federal Reserve policy.
