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2025-12-16 21:26:24
[Non-Farm Payrolls "Judgment Day": How Does a Report Define the Fed's "Right or Wrong"?] ⑴ Analysts point out that today's US non-farm payrolls report is crucial for Federal Reserve policymakers. ⑵ Although the Fed's next interest rate decision won't be until January 28th, and will refer to December data, this report is not entirely decisive. ⑶ However, the report's results will directly influence the market's assessment of whether last week's Fed rate cut decision was wise. ⑷ Given the significant internal divisions within the Fed at last week's policy meeting, this data will be key evidence in judging the positions of both sides. ⑸ If the employment data is weak, it will prove that last week's rate cut decision was forward-looking and supported the position of dovish officials. ⑹ Conversely, if the data shows the job market remains robust, it will significantly strengthen the arguments of hawkish officials who advocate delaying rate cuts, making the rate cut decision face more scrutiny.
