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2025-12-17 20:36:45
[Eurozone Inflation Data Revised Downward, But Institutions Expect It Not to Shake ECB's Wait-and-See Stance] ⑴ Some institutions point out that although the Eurozone's overall inflation rate in November was revised down to 2.1%, lower than the initial estimate and the consensus forecast of 2.2%, the ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week. ⑵ Analysts at this institution believe that the inflation rate may rebound slightly in December, ending the year with stronger-than-expected momentum, which may prompt the ECB to raise its inflation forecast for next year. ⑶ The institution itself predicts that the Eurozone inflation rate will average 1.9% in 2026, higher than the ECB's current forecast. ⑷ Analysts point out that this inflation outlook, coupled with its expected acceleration in GDP growth, should be sufficient to prevent the central bank from further easing policy in the new year. ⑸ Therefore, this moderately revised inflation data is unlikely to change the ECB's short-term policy path, and market expectations for interest rate cuts may continue to be suppressed.
