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2025-12-18 16:25:44
[The European Central Bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time] ⑴ The market widely expects the European Central Bank to keep borrowing costs unchanged for the fourth consecutive time in December 2025, with the main refinancing rate expected to remain at 2.15% and the deposit facility rate at 2.0%. ⑵ The ECB President recently stated that monetary policy is in a "good position." ⑶ Recent data shows that the Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, significantly faster than the ECB's September forecast, while the inflation rate in November was 2.1%, slightly above the 2% target. ⑷ Investors will also be watching the ECB's outlook for 2026, particularly whether it will consider raising interest rates; the market's implied probability of a rate hike by the end of 2026 hovers around 30%. ⑸ The central bank will also release its latest internal forecasts, which are expected to be revised upwards.
