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2026-04-06 19:59:47
[Expert: US-Iran Ceasefire Faces Multiple Realistic Obstacles] Li Zixin, Assistant Researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, stated that while a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran is not impossible given the current situation, it faces numerous difficulties. Even if an agreement is reached, it is more likely to be a stopgap measure than a reliable path to a permanent ceasefire. Firstly, the core demands of both sides are difficult to reconcile. Iran considers control of the Strait of Hormuz and its stockpile of 60% enriched uranium as its core strategic bargaining chips and has clearly stated that it will not relinquish these fundamental interests for a short-term ceasefire. The US, on the other hand, demands that Iran reopen the Strait and handle its nuclear materials, essentially requiring unilateral concessions from Iran and a short-term de-escalation in exchange for its core interests—a move that touches upon Iran's sovereignty and security bottom line. Secondly, the foundation of trust in the negotiations is very weak. While Iran acknowledges exchanging relevant information with the US through friendly countries, it denies engaging in direct negotiations. While sending signals of negotiation, US President Trump continued to issue ultimatums about military strikes. This "fight while negotiating" approach is closer to a strategy of maximum pressure and testing the other side's willingness to compromise than a genuine attempt to seek reconciliation. (CCTV News)
