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2026-04-07 12:13:10
[Analysts' On-Site Investigation Reveals: Actual Traffic Volume in the Strait of Hormuz Far Exceeds Public Data; AIS Underreports About Half] 1. A 18,000-word report by Citrini Research indicates that on-site investigations by analysts have revealed that the actual number of vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz far exceeds publicly available data. In the current conflict environment, the AIS system underreports approximately half of the actual passing vessels daily. 2. To avoid risk, many vessels choose to turn off their AIS signals or navigate through "hidden corridors" not marked on public maps. Relying solely on AIS data would severely misjudge the strait's capacity, misinterpreting "half-full" pipelines as "dry." 3. The report suggests that the actual traffic conditions in the Strait of Hormuz may be better than publicly available data indicates, and market concerns about supply disruptions may be overestimated.
