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2026-04-07 21:21:53
[Geopolitical powder keg ignited, Hormuz standoff escalates, traders closely watch the Bab el-Mandeb Strait] ⑴ A senior Iranian source warned on Monday that a US attack on Iranian power plants would plunge the entire region and Saudi Arabia into complete darkness. ⑵ The source clearly stated that the US seeks the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, but Iran will not concede to "empty promises" and will only adjust its position if the US shows flexibility. ⑶ Qatar conveyed Iran's position on attacking power plants to the US on Monday, while Iran warned that its allies would also close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait if the situation spirals out of control. ⑷ The simultaneous risk of closure of two key shipping lanes directly impacts global energy transportation and supply chain stability, further exacerbating market concerns about Trump's tariff rhetoric. ⑸ From a trading psychology perspective, investors are pricing in a premium for safe-haven assets under extreme scenarios. Future attention should be paid to the actual navigation status of the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, as well as any signs of flexibility from both the US and Iran at the negotiating table.
