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2026-04-17 19:39:05

[Berenberg Bank: European Economy to Recover After Middle East Conflict, Germany to Lead Growth, US to Slow Down] (1) Berenberg Bank analysts say that once the worst of the Middle East conflict is over, Europe’s positive fundamentals will reappear. (2) Economic growth is likely to be led by Germany; in addition to fiscal stimulus, Germany should also accelerate reforms that are conducive to growth. (3) Most Eurozone member states are expected to recover to their 2025 growth rates by 2027; by 2028, the Eurozone growth rate is expected to be around 1.5%. (4) The UK’s economic growth is expected to be greater; in contrast, US growth will slow down in the coming years. (5) Analysts point out that capital mismatch caused by tariffs, widespread uncertainty about Trump’s policies, and the most severe immigration crackdowns will all damage the US economy.

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