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News  >  News Details

Iran weighs Pakistan as a potential bargaining opportunity: US port blockade and ceasefire breach become major obstacles.

2026-04-21 07:38:29

Amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East, peace talks involving Iran, the United States, and Pakistan are at a critical juncture. While Iran has shown some flexibility, considering participation in dialogues with the US in Pakistan, the US's continued blockade of Iranian ports and accusations of violating the ceasefire agreement remain major obstacles to the diplomatic process. This situation not only directly impacts regional stability but also poses a serious challenge to global energy supplies and the economic order. With the two-week ceasefire agreement nearing its expiration, the differences between the two sides and the room for compromise are drawing significant international attention.

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Current Situation Overview: Iran "Actively Considers" Participating in Negotiations but Faces Real Obstacles


According to reliable sources, a senior Iranian official revealed on Monday (April 20) that Tehran is "actively considering" participating in US-Iran peace talks held in Pakistan. This comes after Pakistan took steps to try to end the US blockade of Iranian ports, considered a prerequisite for Tehran's return to the peace process. However, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi clearly stated that the US's "continued violations of the ceasefire agreement" is the core obstacle to current diplomatic efforts. In a telephone conversation with the Pakistani Foreign Minister, Araqchi stated that Iran is comprehensively assessing various factors and has not yet made a final decision on its next steps.

This statement marks a shift in Iran's stance. Previously, Iran had ruled out participation in similar talks and vowed to resolutely retaliate against any act of aggression. Now, Tehran seems more inclined to seek a solution through diplomatic channels, but only if the United States demonstrates sincerity and removes practical obstacles. Pakistan, as a mediator, is actively promoting the lifting of the blockade and facilitating Iranian participation, demonstrating Islamabad's important role in regional diplomacy.

Ceasefire Agreement About to Expire: Energy Market Turmoil and Global Economic Risks


The conflict, which has already caused thousands of casualties and severely destabilized global energy markets, is currently in a fragile ceasefire phase. The ceasefire agreement, announced by the Trump administration on April 7, is for two weeks and expires at 8 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday (April 22) (8 a.m. Beijing Time on Thursday). With the deadline approaching, the urgency for negotiations between the two sides has increased significantly.

US President Trump is eager to launch a new round of talks in Pakistan to avert another sharp rise in oil prices and severe volatility in global stock markets. Iran, meanwhile, is leveraging its control of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial energy corridor, as a bargaining chip. This strait carries approximately one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas shipments, and a complete disruption would have catastrophic consequences for global energy supplies. Currently, oil prices have risen by about 5% due to concerns about a potential collapse of the ceasefire, and shipping data shows that vessel traffic in the strait has nearly ceased.

Iran hopes the agreement will not only prevent a full-scale resurgence of war but also provide some financial and economic relief amid long-term sanctions, while preserving necessary leeway for its nuclear program. Trump's camp, on the other hand, has stated its expectation for a new nuclear agreement to be reached as soon as possible, claiming its outcome will be superior to the international agreement reached during the Obama administration in 2015. He wrote on social media: "I'm under absolutely no pressure, but everything will happen, and it will move relatively quickly!"

US Blockade and Ship Inspections: Tensions Escalate Further


The continued US blockade of Iranian ports constitutes a major obstacle to negotiations. Previously, the US seized an Iranian cargo ship attempting to break the blockade, sparking strong resentment and vows of retaliation from Tehran. Pakistani security sources revealed that Pakistani mediators have clearly pointed out to Trump that the blockade is a significant obstacle to the negotiation process, and Trump promised to consider it.

The boarding and inspection of an Iranian vessel by U.S. Marines on Sunday has further heightened uncertainty. Video released by U.S. Central Command shows Marines rappelling from helicopters onto a cargo ship flying the Iranian flag en route to Bandar Abbas. The ship is believed to be carrying items deemed "dual-use" by the U.S. Iranian state media condemned the action as "armed piracy," stating that the presence of crew members and their families on board limited direct confrontation by the Iranian military, but that Iran is prepared to respond to "outright aggression."

China, a major buyer of Iranian crude oil, expressed concern over the "forced stop" incident. Chinese President Xi Jinping called for maintaining normal navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and supported resolving the dispute through political and diplomatic means. Trump continued to issue strong warnings, stating that if Iran refused its conditions, the US would strike Iranian infrastructure such as bridges and power plants. Iran responded that if the US attacked civilian targets, Iran would take action against power plants and desalination plants in its Gulf Arab neighbors.

Iran's top leadership maintains a firm stance: upholding national interests and rejecting negotiations under threat.


Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei recently reiterated three fundamental positions: demanding war reparations, holding those responsible for the attacks accountable, and pushing for a new phase in the management of the Strait of Hormuz. He also emphasized that Iran will never relinquish its legitimate rights and considers all "resistance fronts" in the region as a unified whole. This statement highlights Iran's firm resolve to safeguard its national sovereignty and rights.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Qassem Ghalibaf stated unequivocally that the United States, through its blockade and violation of the ceasefire agreement, is attempting to turn the negotiating table into a "surrender table," or seeking a pretext to reignite war. He emphasized that "Iran will not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats," and pointed out that in the past two weeks, Iran has been fully prepared to "play new cards" on the battlefield. These high-level statements further demonstrate that Tehran will not easily concede under pressure, and that peace talks must be based on mutual respect and equality.

Overall, the prospects for US-Iran peace talks remain fraught with uncertainty. While both sides are willing to end the conflict diplomatically, factors such as US sanctions, accusations of ceasefire breach, and hardline stances at the highest levels pose a severe test to the negotiation process. Pakistan's mediating role is crucial, and pressure on global energy markets and economic stability provides external impetus for all parties to reach a compromise as quickly as possible. Developments in the coming days will directly determine whether this conflict moves towards peace or plunges back into deeper turmoil.

Frequently Asked Questions


Question 1: Why is Iran "actively considering" participating in the Pakistan peace talks, yet emphasizing that the US violation of the ceasefire is the main obstacle?

A: Iran's statement reflects its realistic considerations following the ongoing conflict. On the one hand, the war has caused significant casualties and economic pressure, and Tehran hopes to gain financial respite, lift some sanctions, and create space for its nuclear program through negotiations. On the other hand, the US's maintenance of the port blockade and the ship inspections are seen by Iran as direct violations of the ceasefire agreement, damaging the foundation of trust for negotiations. The statements from Iran's foreign minister and senior officials indicate that Tehran is willing to participate flexibly, but only on the condition that the US cease its unilateral actions and demonstrate sincerity. This reflects Iran's balancing act between military and diplomatic strategies.

Question 2: What is the specific expiration date and background of the ceasefire agreement? Why is Trump so eager to reach a new agreement?

A: The ceasefire was announced on April 7th for a period of two weeks, expiring around 8 PM Eastern Time on Wednesday (early Thursday morning Iranian Time). This interim agreement aims to suspend direct conflict and prevent a surge in oil prices and further global economic turmoil. Trump is eager to push forward with the new agreement because he wants to demonstrate diplomatic achievements during his term and prevent a collapse in the energy market from impacting the economies of the United States and its allies. At the same time, he has publicly stated that the new nuclear agreement will be superior to the 2015 version, indicating his desire to reshape the Middle East through rapid negotiations.

Question 3: How will the US blockade of Iranian ports and the inspection of ships affect the negotiations?

A: The blockade directly cut off Iran's trade and energy export routes, becoming a clear obstacle to negotiations pointed out by Pakistani mediators. The ship inspection incident (the US military opening fire and seizing Iranian cargo ships) further escalated tensions, with Iran accusing it of "piracy" and preparing retaliation. Such military actions have weakened diplomatic trust, leading Iranian officials to publicly question the fairness of the negotiations. Concern from countries like China has also increased international pressure. Currently, whether the blockade is lifted will be a key factor in determining whether Iran will formally send a delegation.

Question 4: What is the core message of the statements made by Iran's Supreme Leader and Speaker of Parliament? What impact will this have on the prospects for peace talks?

A: Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei reiterated Iran's demands for war reparations, accountability, and a new management model for the Strait of Hormuz, emphasizing the protection of national interests while viewing the resistance front as a whole. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf directly accused the US of attempting to create a "surrender table," refusing to negotiate under threat, and stated that Iran is prepared for a new battlefield. These firm stances highlight that Iran will not succumb to force and that negotiations must be based on equality. This may prolong the peace process, but it also sets clear red lines for a final agreement, helping to avoid unilateral concessions.

Question 5: What is the role of the Strait of Hormuz in the current events? What global impact will it have?

A: The Strait of Hormuz is a vital global energy artery, handling approximately one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments. Iran's control of the strait is a key bargaining chip; it briefly lifted and then reimposed the blockade, leading to near-total halt in shipping and soaring oil prices. A renewed conflict could trigger an energy crisis, shipping disruptions, and global inflation. The US blockade and Iranian countermeasures have further amplified the risks. Major importing countries such as China have expressed concern and support for a diplomatic solution. Ultimately, the success or failure of the peace talks will directly determine whether the global economy is spared a greater shock.
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