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2026-05-25 20:36:11
[Trump Says Iran Negotiations "Going Well," Abraham Agreement Becomes Diplomatic Bargaining Chip] ⑴ US President Trump said on Monday that negotiations with Iran were "going well," and revealed that he had asked the UAE, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, and Jordan to sign the Abraham Agreement as part of the US's efforts to reach an agreement with Iran. ⑵ Trump directly linked the signing of the Abraham Agreement to the Iran negotiations on his social media platform, and said that these countries would be honored to have Iran join the agreement—a series of agreements normalizing relations with Israel. ⑶ From a trading psychology perspective, although the US released contradictory signals over the weekend (claiming on Saturday that the memorandum was "basically agreed upon," and on Sunday that the blockade would be "fully effective" until the agreement was signed), Trump's positive statement on Monday further strengthened market expectations for easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the restoration of oil supply. This explains why, even after Brent crude oil fell 5.8% on Monday, the market continued to price a decline in geopolitical risk premiums.
