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2026-05-27 08:25:08
【Research Model: Global Population May Halve by 2064 if Severe Ecological Crisis Occurs】 (1) One of the study's authors, Alessio Zacone, published an article on the "Physical Organization" website stating that if the Earth experiences a severe ecological crisis, the global population may be halved by 2064. (2) Researchers developed a nonlinear equation to reproduce the population growth dynamics of the past 12,000 years and use it to make future predictions. They believe that the current growth dynamics themselves will not lead to the end of the world. (3) However, if severe ecological crises such as climate disasters, pandemics, wars, or resource shortages occur, the predictions will change. The calculations are based on the assumption that the Earth's resources can only sustain about 2 billion people after various disasters. (4) The model predicts that the global population will decline sharply and may be halved by 2064. Zacone emphasized that this is not a prediction of future events, but only a scenario assumption established by mathematical calculations.
