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2026-05-28 17:06:25
[The spread between 5-year and 30-year US Treasury yields approaches 80 basis points, exacerbating yield curve flattening; 4.99% at the long end becomes a key support level] ⑴ The spread between 5-year and 30-year US Treasury yields briefly dipped to 80 basis points on May 22, the flattest level since June 2025, before rebounding slightly to 87 basis points. Previously, this spread reached 79 basis points in June 2025 and 74 basis points in May. ⑵ The 5-year yield surged to 4.35% last week, the highest since February 2025, before retreating to a low of 4.17%, currently trending around 4.09%. The 30-year yield rose to 5.20% before falling back, currently holding near the trend support level and the low of 4.99%, which is considered a key level. (3) The continued narrowing of yield spreads reflects the market's repricing of medium-term monetary policy tightening and long-term growth prospects. If the yield curve flattening trend continues, it may indicate a risk of economic slowdown. Attention should be paid to whether the 5-year yield can hold the 4.09% trend level and the effectiveness of the 30-year yield's 4.99% support level.
