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2026-05-30 19:13:45
[Goldman Sachs Model Predicts Spain as Top Favorite to Win 2026 World Cup] 1. According to a forecast model released by Goldman Sachs on Friday, Spain is considered the most likely team to win the 2026 World Cup, with a higher probability of winning than France, Argentina, and Brazil. The World Cup will be held from June 11 to July 19 in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. 2. The model analyzes historical records and rankings of various national teams. The results show that Spain has a 26% chance of winning, ranking first; France is second with 19%; defending champions Argentina is third with 14%; Brazil is fourth with 8%; and England is fifth with 5%. 3. Goldman Sachs stated that its prediction is primarily based on the Elo ratings of each team—a competitive performance evaluation system originally used in chess and later adapted for football. In addition, the model also considers multiple factors such as attacking strength, recent form, team mentality, and geographical location. 4. Goldman Sachs pointed out that its predictions were largely in line with the odds from major bookmakers, but its model's estimate of England's chances of winning the title was lower than the betting market's expectations.
