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2026-07-14 06:16:10
[The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is 41.7%, and the probability of a rate hike this year is 90%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 58.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 41.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 24.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 23.9%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 10%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 32.8%, and the probability of at least a 50 basis point rate hike is 57.2%.
