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2026-07-16 13:52:11
Morgan Stanley expects the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged next week. (1) Morgan Stanley analysts expect the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting next week, following the June rate hike. (2) Since the June meeting, economic data has been between the moderate and baseline scenarios, and recent comments from the ECB president and other Governing Council members have confirmed the expectation of keeping rates unchanged. (3) Further action will depend on more data; recent oil price volatility highlights the uncertainty of energy price trends, so the ECB should avoid sending strong policy signals in its statement or press conference.
