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2026-09-15 19:38:08
[US Market Focus: Long-Term Bonds and Fed Rate Decision] ⑴ The ADP weekly employment estimate will be released at 8:15 PM Beijing time. ⑵ The New York State Manufacturing Index will be released at 8:30 PM Beijing time, providing early clues to September factory activity. ⑶ The US 6-week Treasury auction is scheduled for 11:30 PM Beijing time. ⑷ The 20-year Treasury re-issuance auction will begin at 1:00 AM Beijing time the following day, with a scale of approximately $13 billion, representing the most crucial fixed-time test of the day. ⑸ Against the backdrop of high long-term yields, the strength of demand in this auction will significantly impact the market; weak demand may push up yields and suppress the stock market, while strong demand will have the opposite effect. ⑹ The American Petroleum Institute inventory data will be released at 4:30 AM Beijing time the following day. With high crude oil prices, a significant drop in inventories could reinforce inflation concerns. ⑺ The Federal Open Market Committee's two-day policy meeting begins on the same day, with no major speeches scheduled for the first day. (8) The interest rate decision, the dot plot, and Powell's press conference all fall on the following day. The market is focused on the 2-year and 10-year yields, the US dollar, and the Fed's interest rate pricing.
