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2026-09-16 06:18:08
[The probability of a Fed rate hike this week is 92.4%, and the probability of at least two rate hikes this year is 79.6%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 7.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 92.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 4%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 52%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 44%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 1.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 19.2%, and the probability of at least a rate hike of 50 basis points is 79.6%.
