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2026-09-16 20:44:09
[Canada's Wheat Production to Decline in 2026, with Oat Production Dropting Significantly] ⑴ Statistics Canada's estimates, based on satellite and agro-climate data, indicate that the country's total wheat production in 2026 will be approximately 36 million tons, a decrease of about 10% compared to 2025. ⑵ Durham wheat production is projected at approximately 6.4 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of over 10%, with spring and winter wheat production also showing varying degrees of decline. ⑶ Oat production will see the most significant decline, projected at approximately 3 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of over 20%, making it the major crop with the largest production reduction. ⑷ Barley production is projected at approximately 9.7 million tons, roughly the same as the previous year, while canola production is projected at approximately 22 million tons, a slight year-on-year decrease. ⑸ Corn production, however, bucked the trend, increasing by over 10%, and soybean production increased by nearly 8% year-on-year, partially offsetting the impact of reduced production in other crops. ⑹ Statistics Canada points out that soil moisture varies significantly across the Prairie provinces, with some areas experiencing below-average rainfall, while Ontario and western Quebec have seen above-average rainfall. (7) Going forward, attention should be paid to the impact of expected production cuts on global grain and oilseed trade flows, as well as further disruptions caused by weather factors during the harvest season.
