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2026-09-19 06:00:10
According to the latest data from CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in October is 46.9%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 53.1%. By December, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged is only 9.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 48.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike reaches 42.5%. This data reflects that the market's expectation for further tightening of monetary policy by the Fed remains strong, and the possibility of at least one rate hike in the remaining two policy meetings this year has become the mainstream market expectation.
