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2025-07-31 17:20:02
[Ukraine's Grain Production Crisis: Adding Another Uncertainty to the Global Food Market?] ⑴ The vice chairman of Ukraine's largest agricultural union stated that due to severe weather, Ukraine's grain production in 2025 is expected to fall from approximately 55 million tons in 2024 to 51-52 million tons. ⑵ Wheat production is expected to be 21 million tons, down from 22 million tons in 2024. ⑶ The main reason for the production decline is drought in southern and eastern Ukraine. ⑷ Despite locust infestations in southern Ukraine, their significant impact on the overall harvest is expected to be limited. ⑸ Officials and farmers noted that locusts primarily threaten sunflowers and other crops, and traditional pest control methods are hampered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. ⑹ Farmers in the Zaporizhia region report that locusts have destroyed up to one-third of their sunflower crops. ⑺ The vice chairman of the union stated on national television that six regions are still severely affected by the insects. ⑻ He emphasized that while the locusts can cause economic losses to individual farms, the impact on the overall harvest is minimal. ⑼ Data from the Ukrainian Ministry of Economy indicates that as of July 24, farmers had harvested 10.3 million tons of grain, including 7 million tons of wheat. ⑽ Furthermore, heavy rainfall in western, northern, and central Ukraine has significantly slowed harvest progress, leading to slower exports and potentially impacting this year's rapeseed production. ⑾ This reduced production could cause Ukraine's grain exports to fall to between 38 million and 39 million tons in the 2025/26 marketing year (July to June), down from 40.6 million tons in the 2024/25 marketing year.
